Guo Konghui, a famous automotive expert, was the first academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering. He graduated from Jilin University of Technology in 1956 and served as Vice President of Jilin University of Technology. He is currently the director of the State Key Laboratory of Automotive Dynamic Simulation at Jilin University, Dean of the Automotive Engineering Institute, Professor, Ph.D. Supervisor, Member of the Standing Committee of the China Association of Science and Technology, Vice Chairman of the China Society of Automotive Engineers, and Expert Advisor of the International Association of Transportation and Safety Science (IATSS). Position. Guo Konghui has profound achievements in the field of automotive system dynamics and related fields. His achievements in tire mechanics, automotive dynamics, and man-vehicle closed-loop manipulation dynamics have reached world advanced levels. He was the first to introduce modern system mechanics and random vibration into automobiles. Scholar of scientific research. He has repeatedly won national and ministerial scientific and technological progress awards, and won the national "May 1st" labor medal, in 2003 was named "China's auto industry 50 years 50 outstanding figures".
The birth of the new China automobile industry has been more than half a year. Today, Chinese and foreign automotive joint ventures are blooming everywhere in China. Today, the world-class automotive exhibition gathering brings together the attention of the whole world.
However, behind these colorful flowers, it is not difficult for us to discover that the Chinese auto industry is at a crossroads. At the rejoicing event of the Beijing Auto Show, Guo Konghui, the only academician in the automotive industry in China, once again thrown out this heavy topic to us—Does China's auto industry take the road of independent development? Can the Chinese auto industry take the path of self-development?
— Although the topic is no longer fresh, it is equally heavy...
Growing up, not at the expense of self. Some people see the trend of large-scale mergers and consolidations of the world's auto industry in recent years. They argue that China does not have to engage in “autonomous auto industryâ€. They think “in the age of economic globalization, the concept of national industry Obsolete." They said: "The automobile industry in China is the Chinese automobile industry." "Because the factories are located in Chinese people, they cannot move. The workers must be Chinese, and the tax must stay in China. Therefore, we have to ask for everything, but we must ". Even think that "in the era of economic globalization, national industry has become a harmful concept of stalemate."
There is also such a saying: “Joint ventures are like marriage. They should be mutual needs and sincerely combined. We have just found a capable target, and we just want to grow old; we can calculate our own growth ability when we first got married. One day, it is better to take the other person away. Is this combination not destined to split?
Since the reform and opening up, due to the introduction of capital and technology, China's automobile industry has undergone tremendous changes. As a result of the introduction of joint ventures, China’s auto manufacturing capacity has been raised from the level of liberating cards in the 40s and 50s to the level that can be used to manufacture advanced cars such as the Audi A6, Passat B5, and Buick. However, these high-level cars have often fallen behind when they have not reached the expected goal of basic localization. Several major automobile groups in China have introduced 2-3 rounds of "difference circle" that still can't jump out of "introduction, backwardness, reintroduction, and backwardness." In some joint ventures, "any technical changes must be approved by the foreign ministry". Several large groups have also tried "joint development" and spent a lot of money to send "groups of design engineers" to the "foreign headquarters". The "foreign headquarters" always implements special security measures to enable "co-designers." No contact with any core development technology. Therefore, even with great efforts, it is difficult to make greater progress in product development. They found that the "introduction of joint ventures" has indeed rapidly changed the face of our manufacturing capabilities. Foreign brands do have a brand-name effect in the market; but at the same time, we also lose the initiative and development skills of product development and become a technology dependence. Type of business. The more dependent one is, the less able it is, and the less able it is to rely on. This is another kind of "strange circle"!
In fact, we do not have to confront the sincere cooperation and independent development. There are indeed many similarities between cooperation and marriage, but not exactly the same. Even if we can compare ourselves to marriage and find a capable husband or a rich wife of the richest party, we must rely on each other completely. Can we grow old? Even couples should have their own independent personality. The cooperation between the two sides is more valuable than the cooperation of one party attached to the other. If it has been said by a foreign manager that "China's contribution is equal to zero," can we achieve a sustainable win-win situation?
With the development of the new economic society, the proportion of "knowledge and technology capital" will inevitably grow. Relying on what to maintain the status of "equality partner" will become an increasingly acute issue. It is not terrible because of weakness and low status. What is terrible is the spirit of Ah Q who is not seeking progress and self-enjoyment. In order to grow rapidly, it is also necessary to pay the necessary price. However, do not sacrifice the cost of your own right to development. Only by continuously growing our capabilities can we not always be in a passive position. Strong and strong "marriage" can achieve a real win-win situation. Do not be afraid to let the foreign party know that we want to increase our ability. This principle is understandable to the outside world. As Sun Yat-sen said in his will, we want to "join the world in peace with the people who are waiting for me."
In catching up, we have 1.3 billion denominators
Someone said: "We don't want to develop our own auto industry, but because our gap with foreign companies is too big. We can't even be on equal footing with people, let alone catch up with others."
In fact, everything in the world has its own course of development and demise. Today's mammoths have developed from the state that they were weak and unworthy. The development of history always "belongs to the top", "waves push the waves behind the Yangtze River," and "blue and blue is better than blue."
The car was first invented by the German Benz in 1886, and Germany thus became the world's oldest car center. In 1914, American Ford created flow production and parts interchange technology. In 1920, the production speed of the Ford Model T reached 1 unit per minute, which made the World Automotive Industry Center move to the United States. Ford also became the world's automobile dominator. Later, through the joint-stock system and capital operation, the United States reorganized dozens of small companies into larger GM companies and surpassed Ford. Japan's Toyota invented lean production methods in the 1980s, resulting in the quality and cost advantages of Japanese automobiles.
Now, it seems that only Japanese cars are the most competitive. Is it not possible that the center of the automobile industry is China?
The world is in motion, the automotive industry is changing, and what Japan and South Korea can do, is it that the 5,000-year-old civilized country has not made its own custom? The reasons why China's large-scale joint ventures fall into the "two bizarre circles" are many, and two of them are particularly prominent. On the one hand, the foreign side seeks to strengthen control and does not want China to intervene in product development; on the other hand, many Chinese feel that it is not necessary to strive for growth in their own development capabilities. --- lying on the foreign body feels comfortable: brand incense, high level , Make profit faster, do not have to work hard, then, "Let the stupid people to develop it!"
It does not know that relying on joint ventures is like using opium to cure diseases, taking a few sips and immediately expediting energy and forgetting... Opium can be used as medicine, but don't be addicted to it. Once you become addicted, your body and mind will gradually decline, and then you will die!
China has sufficient labor of quality and cheapness, especially well-educated intellectuals. The large size of the Chinese market requires commodities of various levels and characteristics, with large room for maneuvering. The Chinese know the Chinese market best, which is often the most lacking of foreigners. The world’s auto industry is at a time of major changes in its technology and economic structure. It not only presents challenges but also opportunities. In this period of moving toward a knowledge-based economy, the global economy “reshuffles cards†as long as it is constantly striving to improve its own position and is not guilty of wrong routes. It is entirely possible to change the passive status of China’s auto industry in its international cooperation and division of labor.
The world is changing and opportunities are at any time. However, the opportunity only patronizes those who have the ambition to prepare and never patronize those who only want to wait and do nothing. With China's accession to the WTO, the competition in the auto industry will become more intense. In this new era, the Chinese auto industry should strive to win a win-win and equal domestic and foreign cooperation, but it does not rely on it. Make full use of domestic and foreign material and human resources, strive to form a competitive independent brand, develop self-owned brands with self-knowledge, train the team, create talents, form their own core technologies, and enable China's auto industry to enter “innovation-growth capacity- A virtuous circle of re-innovation - further growth.
We have reason to believe that as long as we insist on institutional reforms, we must adhere to the “introduction-digestion-innovation†route, strive for win-win and equal international cooperation, encourage self-owned brands, and promote innovative spirits, and gradually evolve from technological autonomy to technological dominance. From the “localization of assembly and manufacturing†to the “localization of development†and the “indigenization of knowledgeâ€, we will strive to form our own core technology as soon as possible, and China's auto industry will enter a virtuous circle.
A car is a high-tech product that consists of tens of thousands of complex components. It is much more difficult to develop than a simpler product with fewer parts. However, China has a population of 1.3 billion, and all aspects are developing rapidly. Even if there are tens of thousands of difficulties in car development, it will be a trivial matter to divide by 1.3 billion. As long as we do not arrogantly pursue our own interests and pursue development with our hearts and minds, the full rejuvenation of the Chinese nation will be fully realized.
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